It is tough to believe today's rally was based on colder forecasts. There surely isn't much to get excited about regarding the latest 6-10 and 8-14 day NWS forecasts although they are slightly colder on the 8-14 day front.
Today's rally was likely tied to short-covering ahead of Thursday's EIA storage report which should be the largest withdrawal for this current winter. Some early guesstimates have been as high as 245 Bcf. versus a draw last year of 156 Bcf and and 5-year average withdrawal of 159 Bcf.
With the one-sidedness of trade over the past 7 weeks, a big withdrawal number on Thursday could spike the market higher. If it doesn't come, watch out below.
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