For a second week in a row, a rally higher by the July 15
natural gas contract has stalled at the lower-2.900 level.
In last week’s trade, the July contract topped out at a
2.922 high before turning back lower bottoming out at a 2.744 low two days
later. In this week’s trade, the July contract topped out on Tuesday at a
2.929 high settling at 2.894.
The near term trend at this point remains up with a breakout
above yesterday’s 2.929 high turning 3.000-3.030 into the next longer term
resistance. The 3.000-3.150 area has been solid resistance dating back to
mid-February. A breakout above this resistance would turn the longer
term market trend up.
The 10 and 40 day moving averages are longer term
support levels at 2.790 and 2.810. A close back under both averages
will turn the near term trend back down.
Technical Indicators: Moving Average Alignment –
Neutral
Long Term Trend Following Index – Bearish
Short Term Trend Following Index – Bullish
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