natural gas

natural gas

Thursday, August 28, 2014

Crude Oil Technical Update - Short Term Trend Following Index Is Now Bullish


The crude oil market remains locked in a sideways range that now enters into its ninth day of trade.

The spot October 14 contract has had several breakout attempts over the past 2 days but has not been able to move above resistance at the lower-94.00 area.  It topped out at a 94.35 high on Tuesday followed by a 94.24 high  on Wednesday.  A breakout and close above 94.25-94.45 resistance would likely indicate the market trend has turned back up. 

The 200 day moving average currently at 96.40 would become the next upside objective if the breakout above lower-94.00 resistance occurs. 

Support over the past 8 days has been slowly rising beginning at the 92.50 low set last week but coming in between 93.36-93.45 over the past two days.

If 92.50 support is broken, the 91.24 spot contract low for 2014 will become the next downside support.

Technical Indicators:   Moving Average Alignment – Neutral-Bearish
                                          Long Term Trend Following Index – Bearish
                                          Short Term Trend Following Index – Bullish (turned higher yesterday)

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