Not much to add to today's lower close as the natural gas market hovers above 4-year price lows set in late-April.
Tomorrow's EIA weekly storage number is expected to be a fairly large 121 Bcf injection in comparison to last year's 118 Bcf injection and a 5-year average injection of 92 Bcf.
If analysts' estimates are correct, tomorrow's storage number will be the 9th consecutive injection of the current 2015 injections season that has exceeded the 5-year average.
Production figures from the EIA continue to fluctuate with today's 1st quarter production estimate of 73.5 Bcf per day countering yesterday's February to March production decline. Production in the 1st quarter rose .3% from the 4th quarter 2014 according to the report, another bearish factor for the market.
Weather forecasts both near and longer term are bearishly skewed with little demand expected in Texas and the Midwest, both high usage areas of natural gas for cooling during summer.
It is difficult not to get too bearish natural gas prices given overall fundamentals. One thing is certain, current weakness is going to provide an excellent opportunity not only for the end-users but also for the speculators wanting to get long the natural gas market on a long term basis.
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