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Wednesday, December 3, 2014

Crude Oil Technical Update - Consolidation Above Weekly Chart Support


Crude oil prices pulled back on Tuesday after Monday’s rally higher from a new 5-year low with the spot January 15 contract losing 2.12 to settle at 66.88.

The market is consolidating above an important support level between 64.00-65.00.  The January contract briefly dropped under this support on Monday falling to a 63.72 low before recovering. 

Whether or not 64.00-65.00 weekly chart support can hold or not will be key test of the longer term trend.  If support fails, the trend will remain down with 58.00-59.00 becoming the next support level.

But if support can hold over the next few days, it could be the beginning of a market low.
69.50-70.50 is the first area of resistance followed by the 10 day moving average currently at 72.00. 

A rally back above the 10 day average would turn the near term trend back up.

Technical Indicators:  Moving Average Alignment – Bearish
                                         Long Term Trend Following Index – Bearish
                                         Short Term Trend Following Index - Bearish

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