natural gas

natural gas

Tuesday, December 16, 2014

Natural Gas Technical Update - Rally Failure On Monday - Bears Back In Control


An early bounce on Monday had the January 15 natural gas contract higher by nearly .140ion the overnight session.  But the early strength was short-lived as sellers came back in dropping the market lower into the close.

The January contract finished the session with a .076 loss (2%) settling at 3.719.
10 day moving average support at 3.705 has been broken today turning the near term trend back down as the January contract trades back toward the lower-3.600 level.

Last week’s 3.585 low extending down to the 3.541 low set in late-October remains primary support.  A drop under 3.541 would turn the late-2013 weekly lows at 3.380-3.400 into the next downside support area.

The 10 day moving average now becomes resistance at 3.705 followed by the 3.936 high set on Monday. 

Bottom line – The bears back in control to see if they can push the market under 3.541-4.585 weekly low support. 

Technical Indicators:  Moving Average Alignment – Bearish        
                                         Long Term Trend Following Index – Bearish
                                         Short Term Trend Following Index - Bearish

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