natural gas

natural gas

Wednesday, August 19, 2015

Natural Gas Corner - Technical Update - No Follow Through Selling On Tuesday's Breakout - Short Squeeze Ahead?




The September 15 natural gas contract broke out under key support at the lower-2.700 level on Tuesday triggering a bearish triangle pattern on the weekly chart.

Selling from the breakout point was uneventful as the September contract bottomed out at a 2.680 daily low but moved back higher into the close to settle at 2.704, down .024.

With little follow through selling initiated on yesterday’s breakout, the market could again be ready to turn back higher to squeeze out the weak shorts.

Former support between 2.720-2.740 now becomes resistance with longer term resistance at the 10 and 40 day moving averages currently at 2.800-2.805.

Tuesday’s 2.680 low is the first area of support followed by 2.650-2.660.  Longer term support levels are the 2.590-2.600 weekly lows set earlier  this year.  A drop under weekly low support would turn 2.440-2.450 and 2.230-2.250 into the next longer term support areas.

Technical Indicators:  Moving Average Alignment – Bearish
                                         Long Term Trend Following Index – Bearish
                                         Short Term Trend Following Index - Bearish

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