DJ Natural Gas Gets Boost from Warmer Weather Forecasts
By Timothy Puko
Natural gas prices were rising on Tuesday as warmer weather forecasts suggest stronger-than-expected demand starting
next week.
Natural gas for September delivery gained 2.6 cents, or 1%, to $2.676 a million British thermal units on the New York
Mercantile Exchange. Prices are hovering near the bottom of a 33-cent range they have traded in for two months.
Consumption of gas-powered electricity often rises in the summer as people turn on their air-conditioning units.
Though not all forecasts include as extreme a change, MDA Weather Services in Maryland is showing large swaths of the
Midwest and Northeast with temperatures up to 8-degrees-Fahernheit-above normal for next week, up from Monday's
forecast showing a top of 5-degrees-above normal.
"That's giving the market a little bit of a boost here and keeping it from breaking down under $2.60," said Frank
Clements, co-owner of Meridian Energy Brokers Inc. "It's a shorter-term thing."
Strong supply will still keep prices in check and trouble investors over the longer term, Mr. Clements and analysts
said.
Simmons & Co. International said Tuesday that stockpiles are still likely to enter the winter at their second-highest
point ever and that production will keep growing, by 2% for 2016. Its price forecast for 2016 is the same as for 2015,
a bearish prediction of benchmark prices averaging between $2.75/mmBtu and $3.00/mmBtu.
"While the rate of gas production growth should slow meaningfully next year ... abundant supply appears positioned to
comfortably meet growing demand," Simmons said in a note.
Physical gas for next-day delivery at the Henry Hub in Louisiana last traded at $2.70/mmBtu, compared with Monday's
range of $2.62-$2.67. Cash prices at the Transco Z6 hub in New York last traded at $2.5475/mmBtu, compared with
Monday's range of $2.47 to $2.60.
Write to Timothy Puko at tim.puko@wsj.com
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(END) Dow Jones Newswires
August 25, 2015 10:13 ET (14:13 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2015 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
082515 14:13 -- GMT
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