natural gas

natural gas

Wednesday, January 28, 2015

Natural Gas Technical Update - Bears Retake Control


Today’s expiring February 15 natural gas contract gained .100 in Tuesday’s trade but couldn’t rally above 2.980-3.020 resistance topping  out at a 3.005 intraday high.

With resistance holding again, the market has since tipped back lower in today’s early trade dropping the February contract back toward the lower-2.900 level. 

The primary trend remains down with 2.750-2.760 being a key area of support.  This support has now held the past 4 weeks.  A drop under 2.750 would turn the August 2012 weekly low of 2.575 into the next downside support area.

A breakout above 2.980-3.020 resistance would turn the near term trend back up with the next areas of resistance being 3.180-3.210 followed by the 40 day moving average at 3.270.  As long as the market trades below the 40 day moving average, the trend will remain down.

Technical Indicators:  Moving Average Alignment – Bearish
                                         Long Term Trend Following Index – Bearish
                                         Short Term Trend Following Index - Bullish

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