Natural Gas Seasonal Price Trend Update - Too Early For A Seasonal Low?

The natural gas market closed higher last week on a weekly close basis for only the second time in the past twelve weeks.

After gaining nearly 9% in last week's trade, there is a chance the market has set the first of two expected seasonal lows for 2015.  

However, the seasonal price trend chart for natural gas over the past 3 and 5 years suggests the low may not form until mid-March or possibly early-April.