natural gas

natural gas

Thursday, September 25, 2014

Natural Gas Corner - Day In Review - Bullish Surprise?


Another interesting day of trade in the natural gas market today following release of the weekly EIA natural gas storage report at 9:30 am central.

The storage number came in on the high side of pre-report estimates at 97 Bcf in comparison to the range of analysts' estimates of between 81-96 Bcf, averaging 92 Bcf.

The 1 minute chart above shows how the spot October 14 contract traded following release of  the report.

It fell to a 3.823 low immediately after the release of the report..

And 6 minutes later it was trading at a 3.906 high ending the day at 3.971, up .060.

The market may have already discounted today's high storage injection.  And it may sell back off from lower-4.000 resistance if reached as it has over the past 10 weeks.

But today's rally higher following release of a decidedly bearish weekly storage number may be a signal the focus is now shifting toward something else. 

And today's rally could also be a first indication the market trend is finally turning higher ahead of winter after 10 weeks of sideways trade.

Whether or not the market can extend today's bullish gains will be a good sign regarding the strength of today's rally.  Failure tomorrow or Monday to move higher will likely lead to new price lows for natural gas prices before a final seasonal low is set. 

But if today's rally can continue, the natural gas market could be ready for a seasonal move back higher into early-2015. 

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