natural gas

natural gas

Monday, December 7, 2015

Natural Gas Corner - Technical Update - New Contract Low Set Overnight



The natural gas market remains in a bearish downtrend with the new front month January 16 contract falling to a new contract low at 2.105 in the overnight session.

The January contract traded generally lower during last week’s 5 days of trade closing Friday at 2.186, down .026 or 1.2% for the week.

The 2.105 overnight low is the first area of support today for the January contract followed by 2.051, a low set by the December 15 contract.  Longer term support is the current 2015 spot contract low of 1.948 set the last week of October.

The 10 day moving average at 2.230 is primary resistance as a close back above this average could be an early indication of a trend turn back higher.

The fund long position in the natural gas market plummeted by 56% according to the Commitment of Trader’s report released on Friday.  The futures only long position held by the funds fell by 27,956 contracts to a net long position of 35,459 contracts as of last Tuesday’s close.

Technical Indicators:  Moving Average Alignment – Bearish
                                         Long Term Trend Following Index – Bearish
                                         Short Term Trend Following Index - Bearish

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