The June 16 natural gas contract briefly sold off on
Wednesday as the contract again couldn’t clear 2.180-2.200 weekly high
resistance.
The sell off dropped the June contract to a 2.114 intraday
low holding above 10 day moving average support at the same level.
With support holding, the trend reversed back higher by
mid-morning flat-lining into the close with the June contract settling at 2.173,
up .015.
The current rally has stalled, at least temporarily, under
2.180-2.200 weekly high resistance which needs to be broken to keep the near
term trend up.
A breakout above 2.200 would turn the 2.304 April high into
the next longer term resistance.
If weekly high resistance holds as it has 4 times over the
past month, the 10 day moving average at 2.120 today will be primary support
followed by the 40 day average at 2.095. Longer term support is the 2.026
low set last week.
Bottom line – Breakout time or another failed rally attempt?
Technical Indicators: Moving Average Alignment –
Neutral-Bullish
Long Term Trend Following Index – Bullish
Short Term Trend Following Index - Bullish
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