The February 16 natural gas contract has been trading
sideways to higher over the past two sessions but has been unable to
breakout above 40 day moving average resistance.
This resistance at the 2.170 level today followed closely by
the 10 day moving average at 2.120 needs to be broken in order to turn the near
term trend back up. If this occurs, 2.240-2.250 will become the next
upside resistance followed by 2.380-2.390. Longer term resistance is the
2.495 high set two weeks ago.
If moving average resistance holds, the primary trend will
remain down with the 2.044 weekly low being the first area of support followed
by 1.980-2.000. If 1.980 support is broken, the 1.802 contract low set in
mid-December will become the next downside objective.
Bottom Line – Key resistance area being tested. Will
it hold for a third day?
Technical Indicators: Moving Average Alignment –
Neutral-Bearish
Long Term Trend Following Index – Bullish
Short Term Trend Following Index - Bearish
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