The near term trend for the February 16 natural gas contract
may be on the verge of turning back higher following an overnight breakout
above 40 day moving average resistance.
The 40 day average held as resistance throughout all of last
week’s trade including yesterday but has since been broken in this morning’s
early trade.
If the February contract can close above the 2.160 level
today which is both the 10 and 40 day moving averages, the near term trend will
turn back up with 2.240-2.250 being the next upside resistance.
Longer term resistance levels are at 2.370-2.380 and the 2.495 high set nearly
three weeks ago.
A drop back under 2.160 will keep the primary downtrend
intact with last week’s 2.044 low being the first area of support followed by
1.980-2.000. A close under 1.980 would turn the 1.802 contract low into
the next downside objective.
Bottom Line – Bulls attempting to regain control in today’s
early trade.
Technical Indicators: Moving Average Alignment –
Neutral
Long Term Trend Following Index – Bullish
Short Term Trend Following Index - Bearish
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